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23.02.12  /  High  /  Oman – Warning Of Demonstrations Sunday

High

23.02.12 Oman Warning Of Demonstrations Sunday

We have unconfirmed reports of planned demonstrations on or around the 26 February 2012 particularly, but not only, in the Sohar area. As a result we continue to advise Stening Simpson to maintain a high level of security awareness and to exercise caution, particularly in public places and on the roads.

22.02.12  /  Extreme  /  Chile – Chile-Peru Border Closed Due To Landmines

Extreme

22.02.12 Chile Chile-Peru Border Closed Due To Landmines

Chile has closed its main border crossing with Peru after torrential rain washed landmines on to the road. Officials did not say how many mines had been displaced by the downpour, but army bomb disposal experts have detonated at least four devices. The closure caused severe congestion at the Arica-Tacna border crossing. Chile planted thousands of anti-tank and anti-personnel mines along its northern border in the 1970s during a period of tension with Peru. In recent years it has been working to de-mine the area.

22.02.12  /  Extreme  /  Algeria – Military Find Cache Of Weapons In Amenas

Extreme

22.02.12 Algeria Military Find Cache Of Weapons In Amenas

Algeria (Security threat level - 4): International media sources reported on 20 February 2012 that Algerian military forces have discovered a cache of weapons in In Amenas, located approximately 26 mi/43 km from the Libyan border in southeastern Algeria. The weapons are believed to have been smuggled from Libya and included several ranges of portable surface-to-air missiles, some of which can be particularly dangerous to aviation due to their strike capacity at an altitude of 11,000-13,000 feet. Authorities discovered the buried weapons through informants in the region. Officials stated that the weapons highlight the threat to regional airports, especially the nearby Zarzaitine Airport (DAUZ/IAM) in In Amenas. Stening Simpson Analyst Comment: Weapons smuggling from Libya has been an increasing security threat in North Africa since early 2011. The 2011 conflict in that country heightened terrorist operations in the region as well as efforts by Islamist militants to seize weapons and ammunition from Libya. There have been a series of reports in recent months regarding the acquisition of weapons by terror groups such as the al-Qaeda Organization in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). It is, however, important to note that to date, there are no known cases in which AQIM or related groups have used weapons from Libya in actual or attempted attacks.

22.02.12  /  High  /  Yemen – Polling Opened Tuesday

High

22.02.12 Yemen Polling Opened Tuesday

Yemen (Security threat level - 5): Polling stations opened on 21 February 2012 in an election to formally approve Vice President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi as Yemen's new president. Hadi, the only candidate, was slated to vote at a polling center in Sanaa; however, authorities shut the facility down following a bomb threat. He later cast his ballot at an undisclosed location without incident. According to international observers, early turnout was higher than expected despite the threat of violence. Meanwhile, clashes between government forces and members of the separatist Southern Movement occurred in several southern cities prior to and during the election. At least one person was killed and more than 10 others were wounded in attacks across eastern and southern Yemen on 20 February. The group targeted polling stations in Aden on election day, killing at least four people and wounding at least 20 others. In Mukalla, the separatists called a strike and attempted to prevent residents from casting their votes, and clashes broke out across the city. The Southern Movement and other anti-election elements forced at least 20 polling stations to close. Stening Simpson Analyst Comment: Despite the election, violence is not expected to decrease significantly in the near to medium term. Hadi inherits significant insurgencies in northern and southern Yemen; in addition to the Southern Movement, Shiite Houthi rebels and al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula militants continue to undermine security and the central government's authority across the country. More than a year of protests and open conflict have crippled Yemen's economy, halting critical oil exports and sending unemployment past 40 percent. Although former President Ali Abdullah Saleh has resigned, his influence -- and that of his relatives in the national security establishment -- in state affairs remains an important (and potentially destabilizing) variable.

22.02.12  /  Extreme  /  Afghanistan – Thousands Protest Outside Bagram Air Base

Extreme

22.02.12 Afghanistan Thousands Protest Outside Bagram Air Base

Afghanistan (Security threat level - 5): Thousands of protesters gathered outside Bagram air base, located approximately 40 mi/60 km north of Kabul, on 21 February 2012 after reports circulated that foreign troops burned copies of the Koran. More than 2,000 people participated in the demonstration; some participants set fire to a gate by throwing Molotov cocktails. Government officials ordered security personnel to deploy to the area to provide security. The protesters later dispersed after making plans to send a delegation to meet with President Hamid Karzai in Kabul. A second demonstration of approximately 500 people took place in Kabul's Pul-e-charkhi district; no casualties were reported at either demonstration. A senior U.S. military official stated that authorities would investigate the incident and apologized for the burning of the Korans.

21.02.12  /  Extreme  /  Pakistan – Kidnappings Bankroll Taliban With Millions

Extreme

21.02.12 Pakistan Kidnappings Bankroll Taliban With Millions

A campaign of high-profile kidnappings has provided the Pakistani Taliban and its allies with new resources, arming insurgents with millions of dollars, threatening foreign aid programs and galvanising a sophisticated network of jihadi and criminal gangs whose reach spans the country. Wealthy industrialists, academics, Western aid workers and relatives of military officers have been targets in a spree that, since it started three years ago, has spread to every major city, reaching the wealthiest neighbourhoods, Pakistani security officials say. For many hostages, the experience means a harrowing journey into the heart of Waziristan, the fearsome Taliban redoubt along the Afghan border that has borne the brunt of a CIA drone-strike campaign. Kidnapping is a centuries-old scourge in parts of Pakistan. What has changed, however, is the level of Taliban involvement. The business is run like a mobster racket. Pakistani and foreign militant commanders based in Waziristan give the orders, but it is a combination of hired criminals and ''Punjabi Taliban'' who snatch the hostages from their homes, vehicles and workplaces. Ransom demands typically range between $US500,000 ($464,000) and $US2.2 million, although the final price is often one-tenth of the asking amount, security experts say. The kidnappers' methods are sophisticated: surveillance of targets that can last months; use of different gangs for different tasks, often with little knowledge of one another. The victims tend to be wealthy and, often, from vulnerable sectarian minorities such as Hindus, Shiites and Ahmadi Muslims. The Taliban's extended range is most striking in Punjab, Pakistan's most populous province, where it has allied with criminal gangs to mount daring abductions, often in broad daylight.
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